-
Notifications
You must be signed in to change notification settings - Fork 0
/
Copy pathchapter18.html
226 lines (186 loc) · 21 KB
/
chapter18.html
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
<!DOCTYPE HTML>
<html lang="en" class="sidebar-visible no-js light">
<head>
<!-- Book generated using mdBook -->
<meta charset="UTF-8">
<title>Eyeball 和 Blackbox 开发集应该多大？ - Machine Learning Yearning</title>
<!-- Custom HTML head -->
<meta content="text/html; charset=utf-8" http-equiv="Content-Type">
<meta name="description" content="">
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
<meta name="theme-color" content="#ffffff" />
<link rel="icon" href="favicon.svg">
<link rel="shortcut icon" href="favicon.png">
<link rel="stylesheet" href="css/variables.css">
<link rel="stylesheet" href="css/general.css">
<link rel="stylesheet" href="css/chrome.css">
<link rel="stylesheet" href="css/print.css" media="print">
<!-- Fonts -->
<link rel="stylesheet" href="FontAwesome/css/font-awesome.css">
<link rel="stylesheet" href="fonts/fonts.css">
<!-- Highlight.js Stylesheets -->
<link rel="stylesheet" href="highlight.css">
<link rel="stylesheet" href="tomorrow-night.css">
<link rel="stylesheet" href="ayu-highlight.css">
<!-- Custom theme stylesheets -->
</head>
<body>
<!-- Provide site root to javascript -->
<script type="text/javascript">
var path_to_root = "";
var default_theme = window.matchMedia("(prefers-color-scheme: dark)").matches ? "navy" : "light";
</script>
<!-- Work around some values being stored in localStorage wrapped in quotes -->
<script type="text/javascript">
try {
var theme = localStorage.getItem('mdbook-theme');
var sidebar = localStorage.getItem('mdbook-sidebar');
if (theme.startsWith('"') && theme.endsWith('"')) {
localStorage.setItem('mdbook-theme', theme.slice(1, theme.length - 1));
}
if (sidebar.startsWith('"') && sidebar.endsWith('"')) {
localStorage.setItem('mdbook-sidebar', sidebar.slice(1, sidebar.length - 1));
}
} catch (e) { }
</script>
<!-- Set the theme before any content is loaded, prevents flash -->
<script type="text/javascript">
var theme;
try { theme = localStorage.getItem('mdbook-theme'); } catch(e) { }
if (theme === null || theme === undefined) { theme = default_theme; }
var html = document.querySelector('html');
html.classList.remove('no-js')
html.classList.remove('light')
html.classList.add(theme);
html.classList.add('js');
</script>
<!-- Hide / unhide sidebar before it is displayed -->
<script type="text/javascript">
var html = document.querySelector('html');
var sidebar = 'hidden';
if (document.body.clientWidth >= 1080) {
try { sidebar = localStorage.getItem('mdbook-sidebar'); } catch(e) { }
sidebar = sidebar || 'visible';
}
html.classList.remove('sidebar-visible');
html.classList.add("sidebar-" + sidebar);
</script>
<nav id="sidebar" class="sidebar" aria-label="Table of contents">
<div class="sidebar-scrollbox">
<ol class="chapter"><li class="chapter-item expanded affix "><a href="index.html">引言</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter1.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">1.</strong> 机器学习策略的原因</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter2.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">2.</strong> 如何使用本书来帮助您的团队</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter3.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">3.</strong> 预备知识和注释</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter4.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">4.</strong> 规模推动机器学习进步</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter5.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">5.</strong> 您的开发和测试集</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter6.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">6.</strong> 你的开发集和测试集应该来自相同的分布</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter7.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">7.</strong> 开发集/测试集需要多大</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter8.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">8.</strong> 为您的团队建立单一数字的评估指标以进行优化</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter9.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">9.</strong> 优化指标和满足指标</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter10.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">10.</strong> 通过开发集和评估标准加速迭代</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter11.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">11.</strong> 何时更改开发/测试集和评估指标</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter12.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">12.</strong> 小结：建立开发集和测试集</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter13.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">13.</strong> 快速构建您的第一个系统，然后迭代</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter14.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">14.</strong> 误差分析：查看开发集样本以评估想法</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter15.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">15.</strong> 在误差分析期间并行评估多个想法</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter16.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">16.</strong> 清理错误标注的开发和测试集样本</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter17.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">17.</strong> 如果你有一个大的开发集，将其分成两个子集，只着眼于其中的一个</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter18.html" class="active"><strong aria-hidden="true">18.</strong> Eyeball 和 Blackbox 开发集应该多大？</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter19.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">19.</strong> 小贴士：基本误差分析</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter20.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">20.</strong> 偏差和方差：误差的两大来源</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter21.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">21.</strong> 偏差和方差的例子</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter22.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">22.</strong> 比较最优错误率</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter23.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">23.</strong> 处理偏差和方差</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter24.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">24.</strong> 偏差和方差间的权衡</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter25.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">25.</strong> 减少可避免偏差的方法</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter26.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">26.</strong> 训练集上的误差分析</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter27.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">27.</strong> 减少方差的方法</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter28.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">28.</strong> 诊断偏差和方差：学习曲线</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter29.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">29.</strong> 绘制训练误差曲线</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter30.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">30.</strong> 解读学习曲线：高偏差</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter31.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">31.</strong> 解释学习曲线：其他情况</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter32.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">32.</strong> 绘制学习曲线</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter33.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">33.</strong> 为何我们要与人类水平的表现作对比</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter34.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">34.</strong> 如何定义人类水平的表现</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter35.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">35.</strong> 超越人类水平表现</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter36.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">36.</strong> 何时应该在不同的分布下训练和测试</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter37.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">37.</strong> 如何决定是否使用所有数据</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter38.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">38.</strong> 如何决定是否包含不一致的数据</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter39.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">39.</strong> 加权数据</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter40.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">40.</strong> 从训练集到开发集的泛化</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter41.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">41.</strong> 识别偏差、方差和数据不匹配误差</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter42.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">42.</strong> 处理数据不匹配</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter43.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">43.</strong> 人工数据合成</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter44.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">44.</strong> 优化验证测试</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter45.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">45.</strong> 优化验证集的一般形式</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter46.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">46.</strong> 强化学习样本</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter47.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">47.</strong> 端到端学习的兴起</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter48.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">48.</strong> 更多端到端学习示例</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter49.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">49.</strong> 端到端学习的优点和缺点</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter50.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">50.</strong> 选择流水线组件：数据可用性</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter51.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">51.</strong> 选择流水线组件：任务简单</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter52.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">52.</strong> 直接学习丰富的输出</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter53.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">53.</strong> 组件错误分析</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter54.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">54.</strong> 将错误归因于某个组件</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter55.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">55.</strong> 错误归因的一般情况</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter56.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">56.</strong> 组件错误分析和与人类水平的对比</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter57.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">57.</strong> 发现有瑕疵的ML流水线</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter58.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">58.</strong> 组建一个超级英雄团队——让你的队友阅读本书</a></li></ol>
</div>
<div id="sidebar-resize-handle" class="sidebar-resize-handle"></div>
</nav>
<div id="page-wrapper" class="page-wrapper">
<div class="page">
<div id="menu-bar-hover-placeholder"></div>
<div id="menu-bar" class="menu-bar sticky bordered">
<div class="left-buttons">
<button id="sidebar-toggle" class="icon-button" type="button" title="Toggle Table of Contents" aria-label="Toggle Table of Contents" aria-controls="sidebar">
<i class="fa fa-bars"></i>
</button>
<button id="theme-toggle" class="icon-button" type="button" title="Change theme" aria-label="Change theme" aria-haspopup="true" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="theme-list">
<i class="fa fa-paint-brush"></i>
</button>
<ul id="theme-list" class="theme-popup" aria-label="Themes" role="menu">
<li role="none"><button role="menuitem" class="theme" id="light">Light (default)</button></li>
<li role="none"><button role="menuitem" class="theme" id="rust">Rust</button></li>
<li role="none"><button role="menuitem" class="theme" id="coal">Coal</button></li>
<li role="none"><button role="menuitem" class="theme" id="navy">Navy</button></li>
<li role="none"><button role="menuitem" class="theme" id="ayu">Ayu</button></li>
</ul>
<button id="search-toggle" class="icon-button" type="button" title="Search. (Shortkey: s)" aria-label="Toggle Searchbar" aria-expanded="false" aria-keyshortcuts="S" aria-controls="searchbar">
<i class="fa fa-search"></i>
</button>
</div>
<h1 class="menu-title">Machine Learning Yearning</h1>
<div class="right-buttons">
<a href="print.html" title="Print this book" aria-label="Print this book">
<i id="print-button" class="fa fa-print"></i>
</a>
</div>
</div>
<div id="search-wrapper" class="hidden">
<form id="searchbar-outer" class="searchbar-outer">
<input type="search" id="searchbar" name="searchbar" placeholder="Search this book ..." aria-controls="searchresults-outer" aria-describedby="searchresults-header">
</form>
<div id="searchresults-outer" class="searchresults-outer hidden">
<div id="searchresults-header" class="searchresults-header"></div>
<ul id="searchresults">
</ul>
</div>
</div>
<!-- Apply ARIA attributes after the sidebar and the sidebar toggle button are added to the DOM -->
<script type="text/javascript">
document.getElementById('sidebar-toggle').setAttribute('aria-expanded', sidebar === 'visible');
document.getElementById('sidebar').setAttribute('aria-hidden', sidebar !== 'visible');
Array.from(document.querySelectorAll('#sidebar a')).forEach(function(link) {
link.setAttribute('tabIndex', sidebar === 'visible' ? 0 : -1);
});
</script>
<div id="content" class="content">
<main>
<h2 id="chapter-18how-big-should-the-eyeball-and-blackbox-dev-sets-be"><a class="header" href="#chapter-18how-big-should-the-eyeball-and-blackbox-dev-sets-be">Chapter 18、How big should the Eyeball and Blackbox dev sets be?</a></h2>
<p><strong>Eyeball 和 Blackbox 开发集应该多大？</strong></p>
<p><img src="img/myl-c17-0.jpg" alt="0" /></p>
<p>你的 Eyeball 开发集应该足够大，大到可以让你了解到算法的主要错误类别。如果你正在从事一项人类表现很好的任务（如识别图像中的猫），以下是一些粗略的指导方针：</p>
<ul>
<li>一个使你的分类器犯错10次的 Eyeball 开发集将被认为是非常小的。只有10个错误，很难准确估计不同错误类别的影响。但如果您的数据非常少，而且不能负担的起更多 Eyeball 开发集，有总比没有好，这将有助于项目的优先顺序。</li>
<li>如果分类器在 eyeball 开发集上样本上犯了约20个错误，你将会开始大致了解主要的错误来源。</li>
<li>如果有约50个错误，你将会比较好的了解主要的错误来源。</li>
<li>如果有约100个错误，你将会很清楚主要的错误来源。我见过有人手动分析更多的错误——有时候多达500个。只要你有足够多的数据，这将是无害的。</li>
</ul>
<p>假设你的分类器有5%的错误率。为了确保在 Eyeball 开发集中有约100个错误标记的样本，Eyeball 开发集应该有约2000个样本（因为 0.05*2000 = 100）。分类器的错误率越低，为了获得足够多的错误来分析，Eyeball 开发集需要越大。</p>
<p>如果你正在做一个连人都做不好的任务，那么检查 Eyeball 开发集的联系将不会有什么帮助，因为很难找出算法不能正确分类一个样本的原因。这种情景下，你可能会忽略 Eyeball 开发集。我们将在后续章节中讨论这些问题的指导方针。</p>
<p><img src="img/myl-c17-1.jpg" alt="0" /></p>
<p>Blackbox 开发集该如何？我们之前说过，开发集有约1000-10000个样本是正常的 。为了完善这个表述，尽管更多的数据几乎没什么坏处，一个有1000-10000个样本的 Blackbox 开发集通常会为你提供足够的数据去调超参和选择模型。一个含有100个样本的 Blackbox 开发集比较小，但仍然有用。</p>
<p>如果你有一个小的开发集，那么你可能没有足够的数据将其分成足够大的 Eyeball 和 Blackbox 开发集来满足他们的目的。相反，你的整个开发集可能不得不用作 Eyeball 开发集——即，你将手动检查所有的开发集数据。</p>
<p>在 Eyeball 和 Blackbox 开发集之间，我认为 Eyeball 开发集更重要（假设你正在研究一个人类能够很好解决的问题，检查这些样本能帮你获得洞察力）。如果你只有一个 Eyeball 开发集，你可以在这个开发集上进行错误分析、模型选择和调超参。只有一个 Eyeball 开发集的缺点是过拟合开发集的风险更大。</p>
<p>如果你有数据的充足访问权限，那么 Eyeball 开发集的大小将主要取决于你有时间去手动分析样本的数量。例如，我很少看到有人手动分析超过1000个错误。</p>
</main>
<nav class="nav-wrapper" aria-label="Page navigation">
<!-- Mobile navigation buttons -->
<a rel="prev" href="chapter17.html" class="mobile-nav-chapters previous" title="Previous chapter" aria-label="Previous chapter" aria-keyshortcuts="Left">
<i class="fa fa-angle-left"></i>
</a>
<a rel="next" href="chapter19.html" class="mobile-nav-chapters next" title="Next chapter" aria-label="Next chapter" aria-keyshortcuts="Right">
<i class="fa fa-angle-right"></i>
</a>
<div style="clear: both"></div>
</nav>
</div>
</div>
<nav class="nav-wide-wrapper" aria-label="Page navigation">
<a rel="prev" href="chapter17.html" class="nav-chapters previous" title="Previous chapter" aria-label="Previous chapter" aria-keyshortcuts="Left">
<i class="fa fa-angle-left"></i>
</a>
<a rel="next" href="chapter19.html" class="nav-chapters next" title="Next chapter" aria-label="Next chapter" aria-keyshortcuts="Right">
<i class="fa fa-angle-right"></i>
</a>
</nav>
</div>
<!-- Livereload script (if served using the cli tool) -->
<script type="text/javascript">
var socket = new WebSocket("ws://localhost:3000/__livereload");
socket.onmessage = function (event) {
if (event.data === "reload") {
socket.close();
location.reload();
}
};
window.onbeforeunload = function() {
socket.close();
}
</script>
<script type="text/javascript">
window.playground_copyable = true;
</script>
<script src="elasticlunr.min.js" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script>
<script src="mark.min.js" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script>
<script src="searcher.js" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script>
<script src="clipboard.min.js" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script>
<script src="highlight.js" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script>
<script src="book.js" type="text/javascript" charset="utf-8"></script>
<!-- Custom JS scripts -->
</body>
</html>