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<title>解读学习曲线：高偏差 - Machine Learning Yearning</title>
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<ol class="chapter"><li class="chapter-item expanded affix "><a href="index.html">引言</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter1.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">1.</strong> 机器学习策略的原因</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter2.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">2.</strong> 如何使用本书来帮助您的团队</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter3.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">3.</strong> 预备知识和注释</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter4.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">4.</strong> 规模推动机器学习进步</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter5.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">5.</strong> 您的开发和测试集</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter6.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">6.</strong> 你的开发集和测试集应该来自相同的分布</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter7.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">7.</strong> 开发集/测试集需要多大</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter8.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">8.</strong> 为您的团队建立单一数字的评估指标以进行优化</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter9.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">9.</strong> 优化指标和满足指标</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter10.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">10.</strong> 通过开发集和评估标准加速迭代</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter11.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">11.</strong> 何时更改开发/测试集和评估指标</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter12.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">12.</strong> 小结：建立开发集和测试集</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter13.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">13.</strong> 快速构建您的第一个系统，然后迭代</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter14.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">14.</strong> 误差分析：查看开发集样本以评估想法</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter15.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">15.</strong> 在误差分析期间并行评估多个想法</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter16.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">16.</strong> 清理错误标注的开发和测试集样本</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter17.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">17.</strong> 如果你有一个大的开发集，将其分成两个子集，只着眼于其中的一个</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter18.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">18.</strong> Eyeball 和 Blackbox 开发集应该多大？</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter19.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">19.</strong> 小贴士：基本误差分析</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter20.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">20.</strong> 偏差和方差：误差的两大来源</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter21.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">21.</strong> 偏差和方差的例子</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter22.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">22.</strong> 比较最优错误率</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter23.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">23.</strong> 处理偏差和方差</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter24.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">24.</strong> 偏差和方差间的权衡</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter25.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">25.</strong> 减少可避免偏差的方法</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter26.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">26.</strong> 训练集上的误差分析</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter27.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">27.</strong> 减少方差的方法</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter28.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">28.</strong> 诊断偏差和方差：学习曲线</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter29.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">29.</strong> 绘制训练误差曲线</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter30.html" class="active"><strong aria-hidden="true">30.</strong> 解读学习曲线：高偏差</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter31.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">31.</strong> 解释学习曲线：其他情况</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter32.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">32.</strong> 绘制学习曲线</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter33.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">33.</strong> 为何我们要与人类水平的表现作对比</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter34.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">34.</strong> 如何定义人类水平的表现</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter35.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">35.</strong> 超越人类水平表现</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter36.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">36.</strong> 何时应该在不同的分布下训练和测试</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter37.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">37.</strong> 如何决定是否使用所有数据</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter38.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">38.</strong> 如何决定是否包含不一致的数据</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter39.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">39.</strong> 加权数据</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter40.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">40.</strong> 从训练集到开发集的泛化</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter41.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">41.</strong> 识别偏差、方差和数据不匹配误差</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter42.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">42.</strong> 处理数据不匹配</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter43.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">43.</strong> 人工数据合成</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter44.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">44.</strong> 优化验证测试</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter45.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">45.</strong> 优化验证集的一般形式</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter46.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">46.</strong> 强化学习样本</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter47.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">47.</strong> 端到端学习的兴起</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter48.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">48.</strong> 更多端到端学习示例</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter49.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">49.</strong> 端到端学习的优点和缺点</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter50.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">50.</strong> 选择流水线组件：数据可用性</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter51.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">51.</strong> 选择流水线组件：任务简单</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter52.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">52.</strong> 直接学习丰富的输出</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter53.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">53.</strong> 组件错误分析</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter54.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">54.</strong> 将错误归因于某个组件</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter55.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">55.</strong> 错误归因的一般情况</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter56.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">56.</strong> 组件错误分析和与人类水平的对比</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter57.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">57.</strong> 发现有瑕疵的ML流水线</a></li><li class="chapter-item expanded "><a href="chapter58.html"><strong aria-hidden="true">58.</strong> 组建一个超级英雄团队——让你的队友阅读本书</a></li></ol>
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<h1 class="menu-title">Machine Learning Yearning</h1>
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<h2 id="chapter-30interpreting-learning-curves-high-bias"><a class="header" href="#chapter-30interpreting-learning-curves-high-bias">Chapter 30、Interpreting learning curves: High bias</a></h2>
<p><strong>解读学习曲线：高偏差</strong></p>
<p>假设你的开发错误曲线如下图所示：</p>
<p><img src="img/myl-c30-0.jpg" alt="0" /></p>
<p>我们之前说过，如果你的开发错误曲线平稳，仅仅通过添加数据你不可能达到期望的性能。</p>
<p>但是很难确切的知道红色开发错误曲线的外推是什么样的。如果开发集很小，可能会更不确定，因为曲线可能很嘈杂。</p>
<p>假设我们在图片中添加训练错误曲线，如下所示：</p>
<p><img src="img/myl-c30-1.jpg" alt="0" /></p>
<p>现在，你可以绝对肯定的说，添加更多的数据本身并不足够。这是为什么？记住我们的两个观察结果：</p>
<ul>
<li>随着我们添加更多的训练数据，训练错误只会变得更差。因此，蓝色的训练错误曲线只会保持不动或变得更高，所以它只会远离期望的性能水平（绿色的线）。</li>
<li>红色的开发错误曲线通常要高于蓝色的训练错误曲线。因此，即使训练错误高于期望性能水平，通过添加更多数据来让红色开发错误曲线下降到期望性能水平之下也基本没有可能。</li>
</ul>
<p>在相同的图中检查开发错误曲线和训练错误曲线可以让我们更加自信地推断开发错误曲线。</p>
<p>为了讨论，假设期望性能是我们对最优错误率的估计。那上面的图片就是一个标准的“教科书”式的例子（具有高可避免偏差的学习曲线是什么样的）：在训练集大小的最大处（大概对应我们的所有训练数据），在训练错误和期望性能之间有大的间隙，表明大的可避免偏差。此外，训练和开发曲线之间的间隙小，表明方差小。</p>
<p>之前，我们只在曲线最右端的点去衡量训练集错误和开发集错误，这对应使用所有的可训练数据。绘制完整的学习曲线给我们提供了更全面图片，绘制了算法在不同训练集大小上的表现。</p>
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