monitor_grid_modal_stream.md

Monitor — Grid Modal Stream

A causal, real-time streaming monitor that carries the certified grid modal-growth detector online — the step from an offline benchmark to an operational early warning.

What it is for

The offline head-to-head certifies the detector on fixed pre-onset segments. This monitor runs the same detector causally on a live stream: it keeps a sliding window of the most recent per-bus voltage samples and, every step, re-scores that window with the identical primitives the detector uses, so the streaming score on a window is bit-for-bit the offline modal_growth_score on that same window. That identity is what makes the offline-calibrated threshold valid online — the monitor never recalibrates.

Contract

• GridModalStreamMonitor — pushes one per-bus sample at a time (update) and raises a StreamAlarm when the live growth rate crosses the certified threshold, after an optional persistence debounce, latching until the growth falls back below so each instability episode raises one lead event.
• StreamAlarm — a lead event: the sample index and time it fired, the growth rate σ, the threshold crossed, and the most unstable bus.
• GridModalStreamMonitor.from_evidence — builds the monitor straight from a sealed head-to-head artefact (aggregation, recency weighting, and matched-false-alarm threshold from the certification), so the certified detector becomes the live monitor with no hand-set constants.

Each update is transactional: a sample must be one non-empty finite real bus vector, free of text, boolean, complex, and broken-protocol aliases, and its bus count must match the established stream. The monitor copies validated samples before mutating its index or buffer, so a rejected PMU frame cannot poison a later score. Constructor controls and emitted alarm scalars are finite, non-coercive primitives; persistence is an exact positive integer.

The honest live-deployment operating point — a stream is stricter than the pre-onset window, because a damped fault has a transient growth window the continuous monitor also alarms on — is measured and sealed in examples/real_data/psml_modal_growth/.

::: scpn_phase_orchestrator.monitor.grid_modal_stream

Modal Sentinel

ModalSentinel is the bridge-agnostic live wiring for the stream monitor: any runtime bridge that yields one mapping of channel name to a real reading per frame plugs in, the operating point is read only from a sealed evidence artefact (verified before any value is trusted; a tampered artefact is rejected), and every alarm is sealed into a hash-addressed, review-only record carrying the operating-point provenance. Frames are fail-closed: a missing channel, an unknown channel, or a non-finite reading rejects the frame explicitly rather than silently degrading the monitored vector.

::: scpn_phase_orchestrator.runtime.modal_sentinel