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Train OCF models on Solar Farm data #3

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jacobbieker opened this issue Jan 6, 2023 · 4 comments
Open
9 tasks

Train OCF models on Solar Farm data #3

jacobbieker opened this issue Jan 6, 2023 · 4 comments
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enhancement New feature or request

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@jacobbieker
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jacobbieker commented Jan 6, 2023

Train, using the new datapipe from #2, OCF models on the sites to see the performance. The starting forecast should be for the next 0 to 24 hours.

Models to use could include:

  • PVNet
  • MetNet
  • Persistence
  • Always zero
  • Always max
  • PVItaly Model
  • Others?

Plots should include:

  • NMAE for different time horizons
  • Forecasted output compared to both raw and resampled inputs
@peterdudfield
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There might be a model from the @simlmx, but also a simple model was used in https://github.com/openclimatefix/PVItaly that could be reused

@peterdudfield
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Also basline lines, like always zero, and persistance, should be run also

@peterdudfield
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What forecast horizont are we thinking? 0 to 24 hours?

@jacobbieker
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0 to 24 I think is a good starting point

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