feat(evals): routing probes — scaffold + batch 1 (2 ROUTED, 1 MISSED) - #1035
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P(skill loaded | applicable task): the multiplier every skill-efficacy number depends on and no benchmark measures. v1 method: trigger-phrase-clean scenario prompts to in-session sonnet subagents; outcome = ROUTED|MISSED|MISROUTED, double-corroborated by the TOOLS self-report line and the PostToolUse telemetry log (agreed 3/3 — the hook's first live catch). Batch 1: reality-check ROUTED (clean), premortem MISSED (clean — and the agent produced premortem-grade analysis WITHOUT the skill: doctrine reachable without routing on strong models), standards ROUTED but contaminated — the agent found scenarios.json on disk and disclosed it influenced routing. Methodological product: committed scenarios become TEMPLATES with dispatch-time string instantiation (metamorphic principle, eval-arch D7); rule recorded in README.
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P(skill loaded | applicable task): the multiplier every skill-efficacy number
depends on and no benchmark measures. v1 method: trigger-phrase-clean scenario
prompts to in-session sonnet subagents; outcome = ROUTED|MISSED|MISROUTED,
double-corroborated by the TOOLS self-report line and the PostToolUse
telemetry log (agreed 3/3 — the hook's first live catch).
Batch 1: reality-check ROUTED (clean), premortem MISSED (clean — and the
agent produced premortem-grade analysis WITHOUT the skill: doctrine reachable
without routing on strong models), standards ROUTED but contaminated — the
agent found scenarios.json on disk and disclosed it influenced routing.
Methodological product: committed scenarios become TEMPLATES with
dispatch-time string instantiation (metamorphic principle, eval-arch D7);
rule recorded in README.