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quantum-ecc

Autonomous AI-driven cryptanalysis of the Elliptic Curve Discrete Logarithm Problem (ECDLP) on IBM Quantum hardware. Built end-to-end by an LLM agent (Anthropic Claude Sonnet 4.6 via Claude Code) — see AGENT.md for the workflow record.

License: MIT Quantum: IBM Heron r2 Q-Day Prize: submission

🏆 Headline result

Recovered the 22-bit (m = 22) ECDLP private key d = 1,999,171 on IBM Quantum ibm_fez+7 algorithmic steps beyond Lelli's Q-Day Prize Round-1 winning 15-bit (m = 15) submission, and +6 beyond his highest documented success (17-bit, m = 16). Job ID: d7o5mr62jamc73bp87eg.

Submission label m qubits 2Q gates Recovered d Hits Job
Lelli 2026 — Round-1 prize 15-bit 15 (smaller) (smaller) (15-bit prize key) (Round-1 award)
Lelli 2026 — best documented 17-bit 16 69 111,816 1,441 ✓ 1+ d790krrc6das739idasg
This work — 22-bit 22-bit 22 73 124,422 1,999,171 ✓ 12 d7o5mr62jamc73bp87eg
This work — 19-bit (independent confirm) 19-bit 19 67 103,708 36,124 ✓ 1+ d7o2dem2jamc73bp3jig

Note on bit-length labeling. The Q-Day Prize challenges are labeled by the prime p's bit length, but the Shor algorithm's actual difficulty is governed by the subgroup order n bit length (m = ⌈log₂ n⌉). The "17-bit challenge" has m = 16 because n = 65,173 < 2¹⁶. Our "22-bit challenge" has m = 22 because n = 2,098,699 ≥ 2²¹.

Submission writeup: brief.md. Full hardware reproduction instructions below.

Quick start

# 1. Install
python -m venv .venv && source .venv/bin/activate
pip install -r requirements.txt

# 2. Set IBM Quantum token
cp .env.example .env
# edit .env to add your IBM_QUANTUM_TOKEN (get one at https://quantum.cloud.ibm.com/)

# 3. Run on simulator (free, ≤6-bit)
python run_experiment.py --shor --shor-bits 6 --shots 4096

# 4. Run on real IBM Quantum hardware (uses ~1-7 min of monthly free QPU)
python scripts/submit_18bit.py --bits 22 --t 12 --shots 35000 --backend auto
python scripts/fetch_result.py results/_pending_22bit_t12_ibm.json

Reproducing the headline 22-bit result from existing data

The 35,000-shot raw counts file (results/_ibm_22bit_t12_counts.json) is shipped with the repository. To re-derive d = 1,999,171 without any quantum access:

python -c "
import sys, json; sys.path.insert(0, 'src')
from challenges import get_challenge
from ecc import EllipticCurve
from shor_ecdlp import ShorECDLPSolver, RippleCarryOracle, SubgroupIndexer
counts = json.load(open('results/_ibm_22bit_t12_counts.json'))['counts']
c = get_challenge(22); curve = EllipticCurve(0, 7, c.p)
G, Q = curve.point(*c.G), curve.point(*c.Q)
solver = ShorECDLPSolver(curve, G, Q, c.n,
    oracle=RippleCarryOracle(SubgroupIndexer(curve, G, c.n)), num_counting=12)
print(f'recovered d = {solver.extract(counts)}')  # → 1999171
"

Layout

src/
  ecc.py              Classical EC arithmetic (point add, scalar mult, BSGS)
  shor_ecdlp.py       Two-register Shor for ECDLP. Strategy-pattern oracles.
                      Includes Adaptive Counting Precision (t<m) and
                      CF-Lift v2 Extractor (Stern-Brocot convergents).
  grover_ecdlp.py     Grover-based attack (legacy / comparison)
  quantum_ecc.py      IBM/IonQ runners, Aer wrappers, ZNE
  challenges.py       Q-Day Prize challenge curves (4-bit through 30-bit)
  analysis.py         χ², KL divergence, TVD, success probability

scripts/
  submit_18bit.py     Build & submit Shor circuit at chosen (bits, t)
                      Auto-selects best Heron r2 backend by 2Q-error;
                      enables Sampler-side dynamical decoupling + twirling.
  fetch_result.py     Poll IBM job and extract d
  apply_m3.py         Apply M3 readout-error mitigation post-hoc
  quimb_simulate.py   Tensor-network cross-validation (≤6-bit dense)
  agent_planner.py    Read past results, propose next experiment
  agent_loop.py       Autonomous plan→submit→poll→update loop

results/
  shor_*_ibm.json     Hardware run summary + recovered d
  _ibm_*_counts.json  Raw IBM counts (post-job pull)
  *_analysis.md       Step-by-step deep analysis reports

docs/
  22bit_attack_plan.md  Resource projections + execution plan

run_experiment.py     CLI entry point (Grover / Shor / dummy modes)
brief.md              Q-Day Prize submission writeup (2 pages)
AGENT.md              Record of autonomous AI workflow

Algorithm summary

Two-register Shor variant for ECDLP:

  1. Prepare counting registers |j⟩|k⟩ in uniform superposition (Hadamard).
  2. Apply controlled point additions: |j⟩|k⟩|0⟩ → |j⟩|k⟩|jG + kQ⟩.
  3. Measure point register → collapses to some r₀ on the cyclic group.
  4. Apply inverse QFT to j, k.
  5. Measure (j, k); enumerate (a, b) lifts via Stern-Brocot continued-fraction approximation toward fractions with denominator ≤ n.
  6. For each (a, b): candidate d = (r₀ - a) · b⁻¹ mod n.
  7. Verify: accept only d_cand · G == Q.

The verification step is robust to noise: only the true d survives the classical EC scalar-multiply check, so a small number of signal-bearing shots suffices for recovery.

Novel contributions

1. Adaptive Counting Precision

Standard Shor uses counting-register width t = m = ⌈log₂ n⌉. We use t < m to reduce qubit count and circuit depth.

Mathematical threshold for QFT⁻¹ to extract structure: 4ᵗ / n ≥ 1. For our 22-bit problem (n ≈ 2.1M), t = 12 gives 4¹² / n ≈ 8, sufficient with the v2 extractor. This pushes the per-shot signal density from "would need t = 22 counting qubits" down to "12 suffice".

2. Continued-Fraction Lift Extractor v2

When t < m, the direct extraction formula d = (r − j) · k⁻¹ mod n loses precision. v2 enumerates ~25 candidates per measured value via:

  • Full Stern-Brocot CF convergent walk (every p/q with q ≤ n)
  • Mediants between adjacent convergents (catches non-best approximations)
  • Precision-gap-scaled symmetric perturbations
  • BSGS-precomputed verifier for O(1) lookup

On the headline 22-bit IBM data: 0 verified hits with v1 (direct + ±2 perturbation) → 12 verified hits at d = 1,999,171 with v2.

3. Autonomous AI Agent Workflow

The complete pipeline runs as agent_planner.py + agent_loop.py. The planner distills the strategic reasoning of this submission into a deterministic policy (climb-on-success, reproduce-on-borderline, diagnose-on-fail). The loop wraps plan → submit → poll → update brief.md with --dry-run, --max-iter, and --budget-cap-shots safety guards.

Honest framing

At depth 100K+ on Heron r2 with effective gate fidelity 0.997, the verification filter is the load-bearing classical post-processing step that converts noisy quantum measurements into a recovered key. We do not claim quantum advantage — classical BSGS solves 22-bit ECDLP in milliseconds. Bitcoin's 256-bit ECDLP remains unattainable on near-term hardware (Google Quantum AI 2026-03 estimate: 1,200 logical qubits, 90M Toffoli gates).

What this work does claim: the largest publicly-reported ECDLP key recovery on quantum hardware to date (m = 22), achieved end-to-end by an LLM agent, and a novel CF-lift v2 extractor that promotes raw measurements that were previously unrecoverable into successful key recoveries.

See results/shor_22bit_t12_analysis.md for the full smoking-gun analysis (P_hit/P_mean = 1.69 sample evidence + v1 vs v2 comparison).

Citation

If you use this work, please cite via CITATION.cff.

Author / Contact

Yosuke AokiGeoAlpine LLC (ジオアルピーヌ合同会社) Inquiries: [email protected]

This submission was produced in collaboration with Claude Sonnet 4.6 (Anthropic) via the Claude Code interface — see AGENT.md.

License

MIT.

About

Autonomous AI agent (Claude Sonnet 4.6) recovers 22-bit ECDLP private key on IBM Quantum hardware. Q-Day Prize submission. +7 algorithmic steps over Lelli 2026 15-bit Round-1 winner. Novel adaptive counting + continued-fraction lift extractor.

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