test: add probabilistic objective regression coverage

[kshirajahere]

Describe your changes

• add tests/test_probabilistic_objectives.py
• verify exact inverse-scaling behavior for wmse and wmae
• verify that nll and crps_gauss prefer a finite predictive std near the residual scale in a simple fixed-residual setup
• verify that probabilistic losses behave identically for broadcasted vs fully expanded pred_std
• add a changelog maintenance entry

Issue Link

Closes #503
Related to the probabilistic-loss correctness discussions in #363 and #347, and to the probabilistic model groundwork needed for #62.

Type of change

• 🐛 Bug fix (non-breaking change that fixes an issue)
• ✨ New feature (non-breaking change that adds functionality)
• 💥 Breaking change (fix or feature that would cause existing functionality to not work as expected)
• 📖 Documentation (Addition or improvements to documentation)

Checklist before requesting a review

• My branch is up-to-date with the target branch - if not update your fork with the changes from the target branch (use pull with --rebase option if possible).
• I have performed a self-review of my code
• For any new/modified functions/classes I have added docstrings that clearly describe its purpose, expected inputs and returned values
• I have placed in-line comments to clarify the intent of any hard-to-understand passages of my code
• I have updated the README to cover introduced code changes
• I have added tests that prove my fix is effective or that my feature works
• I have given the PR a name that clearly describes the change, written in imperative form (context).
• I have requested a reviewer and an assignee (assignee is responsible for merging). This applies only if you have write access to the repo, otherwise feel free to tag a maintainer to add a reviewer and assignee.

Checklist for reviewers

Each PR comes with its own improvements and flaws. The reviewer should check the following:

• the code is readable
• the code is well tested
• the code is documented (including return types and parameters)
• the code is easy to maintain

Author checklist after completed review

• I have added a line to the CHANGELOG describing this change, in a section
  reflecting type of change (add section where missing):
  • added: when you have added new functionality
  • changed: when default behaviour of the code has been changed
  • fixes: when your contribution fixes a bug
  • maintenance: when your contribution is relates to repo maintenance, e.g. CI/CD or documentation

Checklist for assignee

• PR is up to date with the base branch
• the tests pass
• (if the PR is not just maintenance/bugfix) the PR is assigned to the next milestone. If it is not, propose it for a future milestone.
• author has added an entry to the changelog (and designated the change as added, changed, fixed or maintenance)
• Once the PR is ready to be merged, squash commits and merge the PR.

[kshirajahere]

@leifdenby @joeloskarsson Please have a look :)